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Moscow, 21 March 2016 – Global real estate advisor CBRE indicated the key trends of the Russian regional retail property market for 2016.
Uncertain retailers’ demand, as well as expensive and unavailable financing, were the major reasons for lower developers’ activity in Russia. As a result, completions in 2016 could be the record low for the last 10 years.
Completions of modern retail space in 2015 amounted to 1.9 mln. sq. m, which is 13% lower than in 2014. In 2016 in Russia retail premises delivery will be almost 30% lower than in 2015, which is driven by the reduction of new supply in regional cities.
In Russia only half of TOP-10 most saturated markets are cities with 1 million inhabitants. The most promising cities for development of retail space are Vladivostok, Khabarovsk, Naberezhnye Chelny, Kirov and Chita.
Despite some negative macroeconomic factors, international retailers are still interested in the Russian regional retail property market, mostly due to lower competition than in Moscow along with sufficiently high purchasing power and favorable leasing terms. 13 out of 53 international brands that came to Russia in 2015 opened their first stores in regional cities.
Key trends of the Russian retail property market for 2016:
Michael Rogozhin, Managing Director of Retail department CBRE in Russia, comments:
“Retailers in regions are more carefully selecting and evaluating locations for opening their new shopping centres. With high probability, key trend of business optimization and reduction of unprofitable shopping centres in regions will continue in 2016. However, this will be compensated by high activity of major international and federal retail chains as well as retailers of ‘middle’ and ‘economy’ price segments, that traditionally rent premises in shopping centres as anchor tenants.
Developers have announced over 3.2 mln. sq. m of new construction for 2016-2017 in Russia (including Moscow and Saint-Petersburg), which is about 15% of current total stock. However, taking into account current credit conditions, not all the announced projects will be completed in time. According to our estimates, only 60% of new supply will be delivered in 2016-2017, construction of other projects will be postponed, and projects will be completed not earlier than 2018-2019”.